Friday, July 14, 2006

PEER REVIEW REVIEWED, FOUND WANTING

The Wall Street Journal takes a brief look at paleoclimatologist Michael Mann's much discussed hockey stick temperature graph. The article focusses on a soon-to-be-released report by statasticians Edward J. Wegman of George Mason University, David W. Scott of Rice University and Yasmin H. Said of Johns Hopkins University. The article gets really interesing when discussing the vaunted peer review process:
In addition to debunking the hockey stick, Mr. Wegman goes a step further in his report, attempting to answer why Mr. Mann's mistakes were not exposed by his fellow climatologists. Instead, it fell to two outsiders, Messrs. McIntyre and McKitrick, to uncover the errors.

Mr. Wegman brings to bear a technique called social-network analysis to examine the community of climate researchers. His conclusion is that the coterie of most frequently published climatologists is so insular and close-knit that no effective independent review of the work of Mr. Mann is likely. "As analyzed in our social network," Mr. Wegman writes, "there is a tightly knit group of individuals who passionately believe in their thesis." He continues: "However, our perception is that this group has a self-reinforcing feedback mechanism and, moreover, the work has been sufficiently politicized that they can hardly reassess their public positions without losing credibility."
Imagine that, politicized scientists.

1 Comments:

Anonymous Annabelle. N. Smith said...

Im sure your friend Tim Lambert will find a way of pouring slime on the study.

1:35 PM  

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